Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 12.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.96%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
Result | ||
Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
67% ( 0.04) | 20.89% ( -0.03) | 12.11% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 41.1% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% ( 0.07) | 52.79% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% ( 0.06) | 74.41% ( -0.06) |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( 0.04) | 14.92% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.71% ( 0.07) | 43.3% ( -0.07) |
Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.3% ( 0.02) | 51.7% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% ( 0.02) | 85.81% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Maccabi Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Jerusalem |
1-0 @ 14.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.96% 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 67% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 20.89% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 12.11% |
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