SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.03%) and 1-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
54.62% ( 1.64) | 21.01% ( -0.28) | 24.36% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 64.86% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.78% ( -0.03) | 33.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.03) | 54.98% ( 0.03) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( 0.47) | 12.33% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.85% ( 0.98) | 38.14% ( -0.98) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -1) | 26.02% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( -1.36) | 61.05% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.26)1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 54.63% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.36% |
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