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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 59.54%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.15%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
22.01% ( 1.24) | 18.45% ( 0.71) | 59.54% ( -1.95) |
| Both teams to score 71.73% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.71% ( -1.82) | 23.29% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.35% ( -2.49) | 42.64% ( 2.49) |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.24) | 22.01% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.36) | 55.32% ( 0.36) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% ( -0.91) | 8.03% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.73% ( -2.34) | 28.27% ( 2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.01% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.45% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.29)0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.17)1-5 @ 2.28% ( -0.26)3-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.14)2-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.21)0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.16)1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.16)Other @ 4.58% Total : 59.54% |
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