SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
56.35% ( -0.02) | 20.41% ( -0) | 23.24% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.44% ( 0.05) | 31.55% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.96% ( 0.05) | 53.04% ( -0.05) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.69% ( 0.01) | 11.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.04% ( 0.02) | 35.96% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 0.04) | 25.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.06% ( 0.06) | 60.94% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 23.24% |
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