SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.5%) and 3-1 (5.49%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
45.66% ( -0.27) | 19.72% ( 0.01) | 34.62% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 77.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.03) | 19.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.04) | 37.67% ( -0.05) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.97% ( -0.06) | 10.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.9% ( -0.13) | 33.09% ( 0.13) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.11) | 13.49% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.47% ( 0.22) | 40.52% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 4.17% Total : 45.66% | 2-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 34.62% |
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