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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
EC

Blackpool
2 - 0
Exeter

Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 3-1 Exeter City

Although Exeter come into the game off the back of a victory, they have tended to struggle on the road this season, and we think that their poor away form will continue against a Blackpool side that have won each of their previous six competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
64.78% (0.267 0.27) 19.83% (-0.118 -0.12) 15.38% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (0.223 0.22)41.47% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (0.227 0.23)63.87% (-0.233 -0.23)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.13800000000001 0.14)12.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.43% (0.299 0.3)37.57% (-0.305 -0.31)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.07 -0.07)39.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.061 -0.06)76.42% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 64.78%
    Exeter City 15.38%
    Draw 19.83%
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 64.78%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Blackpool
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Lincoln
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-2 Exeter
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One


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