SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
44.98% ( -0.03) | 25.42% ( 0.05) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.23) | 49.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.21) | 71.48% ( 0.2) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.11) | 21.96% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.17) | 55.25% ( 0.16) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -0.13) | 30.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( -0.16) | 66.96% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.6% |
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