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League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road (Blackpool, Lancashire)
NT

Blackpool
0 - 0
Northampton

 
FT

Hoskins (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 1-1 Northampton Town

Neither team has been particularly convincing in recent weeks, and it shows in the league table, with both clubs only narrowly above the relegation zone. Northampton's surprise point at Birmingham last week may be something of an outlier, and their injury crisis means they are weakened at present, so a draw is possibly the best they can achieve here, despite Blackpool sitting bottom of the form standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawNorthampton Town
64.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 20.39% (-0.038 -0.04) 15.57% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.11 0.11)43.6% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.108 0.11)65.99% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.057999999999993 0.06)12.91% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.116 0.12)39.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.019999999999996 0.02)40.81% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.39% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 64.04%
    Northampton Town 15.57%
    Draw 20.39%
BlackpoolDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.04%
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 64.04%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.39%
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Blackpool (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Liverpool U21s (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, November 6 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wigan
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-5 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Kettering
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One


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