Before a 10-man defeat at Lincoln on Tuesday, Northampton were enjoying a productive spell of results, so we are expecting the Cobblers to get back to winning ways this weekend.
Kettering will be hyped up for only a third-ever competitive clash with neighbours Northampton, but we feel that the Poppies will be outdone by EFL quality at Sixfields.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
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