Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bordeaux would win this match.
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