Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.