Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
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