SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
43.33% ( 0.39) | 25.48% ( -0.1) | 31.19% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.32) | 49.01% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( 0.29) | 71.09% ( -0.3) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.33) | 22.54% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.49) | 56.12% ( -0.5) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( -0.04) | 29.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.05) | 65.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.19% |
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