Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.1) 
