Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.07) 
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