Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
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