SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Racing Club |
44.23% ( -0.45) | 25.76% ( 0.17) | 30.01% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -0.58) | 50.67% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.51) | 72.57% ( 0.51) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.46) | 22.83% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( -0.68) | 56.55% ( 0.68) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.09) | 31.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% ( -0.11) | 67.35% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.01% |
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