Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match.
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