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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
2 - 1
Sportivo

Borbas (28'), Neves (47')
Borbas (16'), Goncalves (56'), Bordon (78'), Neves (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bordon (76')
Mana (57'), Lincoln (90+4'), Ferreira (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Sportivo Luqueno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coquimbo 1-0 Sportivo
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawSportivo Luqueno
68.57% (0.203 0.2) 19.63% (-0.108 -0.11) 11.79% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.74% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (0.206 0.21)48.59% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.189 0.19)70.71% (-0.188 -0.19)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.88% (0.122 0.12)13.11% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.24% (0.248 0.25)39.75% (-0.248 -0.25)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.35% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)49.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.58% (-0.029 -0.03)84.41% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 68.56%
    Sportivo Luqueno 11.79%
    Draw 19.63%
BragantinoDrawSportivo Luqueno
2-0 @ 13.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 9.1% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.62% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 68.56%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.63%
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 11.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Corinthians
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Bragantino
Sunday, April 14 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Bragantino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Coquimbo
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Coquimbo 1-0 Sportivo
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 0-2 Racing
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Sportivo
Wednesday, November 4 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 1-2 Defensa
Wednesday, October 28 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo 2-2 Mineros
Wednesday, February 19 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana


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