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League One | Gameweek 18
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
FT

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Fleetwood


Baggott (27'), Marquis (57'), Aguilera (67'), Martin (84')
Martin (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coughlin (20'), Stockley (52')
Campbell (57'), Kilkenny (66'), Broom (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Fleetwood Town

This is a difficult match to call, as Fleetwood will be full of confidence following their strong win last time out. Bristol Rovers are the favourites, but they have only won six times on home soil in the league this season, drawing five, and we can see the points being shared on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
52.91% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54) 23.03% (0.228 0.23) 24.05% (0.31 0.31)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.409 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.711 -0.71)43.15% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (-0.705 -0.7)65.55% (0.706 0.71)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.443 -0.44)16.31% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (-0.81 -0.81)45.89% (0.811 0.81)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.126 -0.13)31.68% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.143 -0.14)68.09% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 52.91%
    Fleetwood Town 24.05%
    Draw 23.03%
Bristol RoversDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 24.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-3 Norwich
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Port Vale
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-1 Fleetwood
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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