There is very little to split the sides in terms of form and league position, but despite Bristol Rovers' excellent offensive output, Fleetwood's strong defence may be able to do a good job on a side littered with injuries.
Another win which saw them score three goals last weekend shows that Fleetwood are improving at the other end too, and Rovers' softness in giving away goals could cost them here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.03) 
