SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
40.53% ( 0.83) | 25.15% ( 0.12) | 34.32% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% ( -0.72) | 46.64% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% ( -0.68) | 68.9% ( 0.68) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.1) | 22.87% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( 0.14) | 56.62% ( -0.14) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.89) | 26.24% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.65% ( -1.21) | 61.35% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.32% |
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