While both teams are a long way from their best coming into this match, Shrewsbury have maintained a decent home record this season. The Shrews also managed a good win in the reverse fixture, and we fancy them to take the points in this one as well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
