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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
SW

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Sheff Weds

Collins (46')
Barton (16')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bannan (28'), Famewo (41')
Smith (15'), Vaulks (52'), Palmer (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Derby
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

Both teams possess plenty of goals within their ranks, which should help create an open match, particularly given Sheff Wed's desperation for a victory. We expect them to find one in narrow circumstances, with Bristol Rovers potentially set to be tired after chasing hard for an equaliser against Derby at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sheffield Wednesday.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawSheffield Wednesday
17.88% (-0.78 -0.78) 21.69% (-0.096 -0.1) 60.44% (0.881 0.88)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-1.152 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (-0.805 -0.81)45.21% (0.81 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (-0.777 -0.78)67.55% (0.783 0.78)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-1.356 -1.36)38.93% (1.36 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-1.304 -1.3)75.65% (1.307 1.31)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)14.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.53% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 17.88%
    Sheffield Wednesday 60.43%
    Draw 21.68%
Bristol RoversDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 5.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.85% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-0 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 17.88%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.38 0.38)
0-2 @ 10.52% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.77% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.27% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.26% (0.045 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 60.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Derby
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Charlton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Accrington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, March 26 at 1pm in League One


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