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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
BR

Forest Green
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Savage (12')
Bernard (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Marquis (19', 61'), Sinclair (26')
Bogarde (54'), Marquis (69'), McCormick (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-1 Bristol Rovers

The hosts are in dire need of a win as the gap between themselves and safety already looks close to unassailable. Bristol Rovers will hope their improved defence can help them towards three points on the road here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
36.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.59% (-0.023 -0.02) 37.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.105 0.11)48.35% (-0.105 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.096 0.1)70.49% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.069000000000003 0.07)25.26% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (0.094999999999999 0.09)60.02% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 36.98%
    Bristol Rovers 37.43%
    Draw 25.59%
Forest Green RoversDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Peterborough
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Ipswich
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One


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