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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
SW

Forest Green
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Garrick (35')
Bunker (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

James (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in League One

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday

The odds are firmly against Forest Green claiming a positive result on Sunday, but Ferguson will take optimism from Sheffield Wednesday's minor blip in their last two league matches. However, we expect the Owls to bounce back with a comfortable victory at the New Lawn and resume their push to win the third-tier title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawSheffield Wednesday
18.23% (0.221 0.22) 22.26% (0.157 0.16) 59.51% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.327 -0.33)47.1% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (-0.304 -0.3)69.34% (0.301 0.3)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (0.064 0.06)39.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (0.061 0.06)76.32% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.238 -0.24)15.44% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (-0.442 -0.44)44.29% (0.438 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 18.23%
    Sheffield Wednesday 59.51%
    Draw 22.25%
Forest Green RoversDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.9% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 18.23%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 11.43% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.65% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 59.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Forest Green
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, March 21 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bolton
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One


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