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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brondby Stadion

Brondby
2 - 3
Legia

Kristensen (19'), Kvistgaarden (36')
Wass (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pekhart (24'), Luquinhas (70'), Morishita (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Brondby and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 1-2 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Brondby win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
BrondbyDrawLegia Warsaw
38% (-6.724 -6.72) 23.16% (-0.957 -0.96) 38.83% (7.678 7.68)
Both teams to score 64.72% (5.414 5.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (6.312 6.31)36.66% (-6.314 -6.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (6.554 6.55)58.82% (-6.557 -6.56)
Brondby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)19.74% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (-0.551 -0.55)51.77% (0.547 0.55)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (7.051 7.05)19.36% (-7.056 -7.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (10.43 10.43)51.14% (-10.434 -10.43)
Score Analysis
    Brondby 38%
    Legia Warsaw 38.83%
    Draw 23.16%
BrondbyDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.913 -0.91)
1-0 @ 6.2% (-2.204 -2.2)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-1.86 -1.86)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.546 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.33 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-1.046 -1.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.44 -0.44)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.676 0.68)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-1.304 -1.3)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.526 0.53)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.912 0.91)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.61 0.61)
1-3 @ 4.58% (1.271 1.27)
2-3 @ 3.71% (1.003 1)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.804 0.8)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.778 0.78)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.622 0.62)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.487 0.49)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 0-2 Brondby
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: KF Llapi 2-2 Brondby
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brondby 2-1 Vejle
Monday, July 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 6-0 KF Llapi
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Viborg 3-3 Brondby
Sunday, July 21 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 0-4 Dynamo Kiev
Sunday, July 14 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Legia 1-2 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 6-0 Caernarfon
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 20 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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