SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
16.6% ( -0.52) | 20.16% ( -0.37) | 63.24% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( 0.75) | 40.59% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% ( 0.77) | 62.98% ( -0.76) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( -0.16) | 37.67% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.55% ( -0.16) | 74.45% ( 0.16) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.78% ( 0.48) | 12.22% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.09% ( 1) | 37.92% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.6% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.16% | 0-2 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.24% |
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