SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
68.96% ( 0.07) | 17.27% ( -0.06) | 13.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.32% ( 0.27) | 32.68% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.64% ( 0.3) | 54.36% ( -0.3) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.4% ( 0.09) | 8.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.31% ( 0.2) | 29.69% ( -0.2) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( 0.16) | 36.28% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( 0.16) | 73.07% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.27% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 13.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
