SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 38.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (4.83%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
38.73% ( -0.04) | 22.64% ( -0) | 38.63% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 66.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.02) | 33.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.21% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.02) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.01) | 18.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( -0.02) | 49.26% ( 0.02) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( 0.03) | 18.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( 0.05) | 49.33% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.63% |
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