SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 43%. A win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.3%) and 2-3 (5.08%). The likeliest Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
36.38% ( -0.83) | 20.63% ( -0.09) | 43% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 74.69% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.3) | 23.78% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.4) | 43.31% ( -0.4) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.18) | 14.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.05% ( -0.36) | 42.95% ( 0.36) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( 0.41) | 12.41% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.7% ( 0.86) | 38.3% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.32% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.62% Total : 43% |
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