SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Cambridge United |
60.58% ( 0.02) | 22.34% ( -0.03) | 17.09% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( 0.11) | 49.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( 0.1) | 71.28% ( -0.1) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.05) | 15.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( 0.08) | 44.97% ( -0.09) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( 0.07) | 42.26% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.34% ( 0.06) | 78.66% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.09% |
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