SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 3-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
53.3% ( -0.07) | 19.03% ( 0.01) | 27.67% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 76.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0) | 20.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.61% ( 0.01) | 38.39% ( -0.01) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.61% ( -0.01) | 8.38% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.83% ( -0.03) | 29.17% ( 0.03) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.03) | 16.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( 0.06) | 46.76% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.69% 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)5-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 4.49% Total : 53.3% | 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.03% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 27.67% |
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