SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 11.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Carl Zeiss Jena win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
11.43% ( 0.04) | 16.73% ( 0.06) | 71.84% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.16) | 36.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.17) | 58.44% ( 0.18) |
| Carl Zeiss Jena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.04) | 42.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.29% ( -0.03) | 78.71% ( 0.04) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.13% ( -0.06) | 8.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.63% ( -0.15) | 30.37% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.44% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.07% 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.73% | 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 71.83% |
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