Even though Leverkusen are weakened by their players' recent Euros/Copa America progressions, Alonso's squad depth is enviable, and the Bundesliga champions should immediately pick up where they left off.
Rot-Weiss Essen are very much still on the right track, but Leverkusen should have no issues sweeping them aside on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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