SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
41.68% ( 1.58) | 22.97% ( -0.47) | 35.35% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( 1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% ( 2.16) | 36% ( -2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.9% ( 2.33) | 58.09% ( -2.33) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( 1.59) | 17.84% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( 2.67) | 48.59% ( -2.67) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.42) | 20.73% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( 0.65) | 53.35% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.35% |
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