SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
42.82% ( -0.41) | 26.58% ( 0.1) | 30.6% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( -0.28) | 53.77% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( -0.23) | 75.24% ( 0.23) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -0.33) | 24.88% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( -0.46) | 59.49% ( 0.47) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( 0.08) | 32.21% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( 0.1) | 68.7% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.6% |
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