Famalicao cannot seem to buy a win right now and have been conceding with regularity in recent weeks. On the other hand, based on their performances over the last month, it feels as though something positive is brewing for Casa Pia under new leadership, and they will be determined to start the first of their back-to-back home games with three points. We are backing the hosts to come out on top in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
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