SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.07% ( -0.08) | 24.83% ( 0) | 46.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( -0.06) | 47.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( -0.06) | 69.44% ( 0.06) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( -0.09) | 29.94% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( -0.11) | 66.04% ( 0.11) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0) | 20.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.01) | 53.05% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.1% |
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