SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
42.84% ( -0.53) | 24.98% ( 0.02) | 32.18% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( 0.09) | 46.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( 0.08) | 68.75% ( -0.08) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( -0.2) | 21.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.32) | 54.85% ( 0.32) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.37) | 27.48% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( 0.48) | 62.97% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.18% |
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