Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Modena
40.8% ( 0.06)	27.13% ( -0.18)	32.07% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.8% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54% (

0.7)

55.46% (

-0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35% (

0.58)

76.65% (

-0.57)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.29% (

0.36)

26.71% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.03% (

0.47)

61.97% (

-0.47)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.45)

32.05% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.51)

68.52% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 40.8%

Modena 32.07%

Draw 27.13%

Catanzaro	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.07%