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Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
3 - 1
Carrarese

Biasci (34'), Iemmello (45'), Pontisso (54')
Brighenti (3'), Bonini (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bouah (44')
Schiavi (25'), Cicconi (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cesena 2-0 Catanzaro
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCarrarese
43.66% (-0.787 -0.79) 26.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 29.65% (0.698 0.7)
Both teams to score 50.12% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)54.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)75.92% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.401 -0.4)24.82% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.56 -0.56)59.41% (0.558 0.56)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.67% (0.51300000000001 0.51)33.33% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.05% (0.563 0.56)69.94% (-0.565 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 43.65%
    Carrarese 29.65%
    Draw 26.69%
CatanzaroDrawCarrarese
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.99% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cesena 2-0 Catanzaro
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 0-0 Juve Stabia
Sunday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Empoli 4-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-5 Juventus U23s
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Cagliari 2-0 Catanzaro
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Carrarese
Saturday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cesena 2-1 Carrarese
Sunday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cagliari 3-1 Carrarese
Monday, August 12 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Carrarese 2-1 Catania
Saturday, August 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Virtus Entella 0-0 Carrarese
Sunday, July 28 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3


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