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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
1 - 1
Cray Valley

Fraser (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ness (48' og.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Cray Valley
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Charlton Athletic 4-1 Cray Valley Paper Mills

Cray Valley Paper Mills travel on a high and with little to lost against third-tier opposition and will certainly look to cause problems for Michael Appleton's side. While they may be no pushovers given the magnitude of this game for the Millers, even with rotations anticipated Charlton should have more than enough to see their non-league visitors off on home turf and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.66%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 4-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
84.66%10.05%5.28%
Both teams to score 50.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.35%24.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.55%44.45%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.94%4.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.96%17.03%
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.15%47.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.88%83.12%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 84.66%
    Cray Valley Paper Mills 5.28%
    Draw 10.05%
Charlton AthleticDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
3-0 @ 10.64%
2-0 @ 9.96%
4-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 7.85%
2-1 @ 7.34%
4-1 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 6.21%
5-0 @ 5.48%
5-1 @ 4.04%
6-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.32%
6-1 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.49%
7-0 @ 1.34%
7-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 84.66%
1-1 @ 4.58%
2-2 @ 2.71%
0-0 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 10.05%
1-2 @ 1.69%
0-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 5.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-0 Reading
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Blackpool
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Cray Valley
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup


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