Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Reading had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
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