Even with their anticipated rotations, Leganes should have far too much quality all over the pitch for Wednesday's hosts, and we see them progressing with a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for CD Ciudad de Lucena had a probability of 11.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.02%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.9%), while for a CD Ciudad de Lucena win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
CD Ciudad de Lucena	Draw	Leganes
11.63%	22.48%	65.89%

Both teams to score 35.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.73%

59.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32%

79.68%

CD Ciudad de Lucena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.49%

56.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.24%

88.77%

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48%

17.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96%

48.04%

Score Analysis

CD Ciudad de Lucena 11.63%

Leganes 65.88%

Draw 22.48%

CD Ciudad de Lucena	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 5.65% 2-1 @ 2.81% 2-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.63%	0-0 @ 9.9% 1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 17.24% 0-2 @ 15.02% 0-3 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 4.98% 0-4 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.65% Total : 65.88%