Three of the last four La Liga matches between these two sides have finished 1-1, and we can see the same scoreline occurring here. Valencia are just not winning games at the moment, and despite their quality, we are finding it difficult to back them to secure all three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Valencia
47.64% ( 1.33)	29.4% ( -0.75)	22.96% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 38.48% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.05% (

1.67)

66.95% (

-1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.77% (

1.11)

85.23% (

-1.11)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43% (

1.54)

28.57% (

-1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

1.89)

64.36% (

-1.89)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.87% (

0.41)

46.13% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.18% (

0.32)

81.82% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Leganes 47.63%

Valencia 22.95%

Draw 29.39%

Leganes	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 16.5% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.43% Total : 47.63%	0-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.84) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.39%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.95%