Although Leganes started the season positively, they have struggled to create many chances in front of goal this term, and it would be surprising if they managed to score against the visitors.
Athletic Bilbao should come into Thursday's clash as favourites given they have demonstrated they are capable of winning even in adverse conditions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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