Leganes will certainly have taken confidence from their draw with Getafe, but Rayo were impressive in their last home fixture, holding Atletico to a 1-1 draw, and we are backing Perez's team to navigate their way to a narrow victory in Saturday's contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.3) 
