Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
