SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
57.16% ( -2.47) | 22.88% ( 1.06) | 19.96% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( -2.56) | 47.31% ( 2.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( -2.42) | 69.53% ( 2.42) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -1.69) | 16.31% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( -3.16) | 45.88% ( 3.16) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( 0.03) | 37.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( 0.03) | 74.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.15% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.96% |
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