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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
63.88% ( 0.91) | 20.35% ( -0.32) | 15.77% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( 0.28) | 43.04% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( 0.28) | 65.44% ( -0.28) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( 0.35) | 12.79% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.91% ( 0.71) | 39.08% ( -0.71) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.79% ( -0.59) | 40.21% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( -0.54) | 76.84% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.25% Total : 63.87% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.35% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.77% |
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